In the spirit of kindness and my wanting to help my fellow man or woman
I have decided to put together some tips that may or may not help you in
making your selections for the tournament. I thought that this was important
to do this year since there are so many teams with a chance to win it all.
So here is tip #1: Only once in the history of
the NCAA Tournament (since it went to 64 teams in 1985) have all four #1
seeds advanced to the final four! So take that for what it's worth.
Now on to the rest of my extraordinary tips.
TIP #2: Seeding Matchup's in Round #1 (1985 - 2009)
| Matchup |
Hi Seed Wins |
Lo Seed Wins |
|
1 vs 16
|
94
|
0
|
|
2 vs 15
|
92 |
4
|
|
3 vs 14
|
81 |
15
|
|
4 vs 13
|
75 |
21 |
|
5 vs 12
|
62 |
34 |
|
6 vs 11
|
66
|
30 |
|
7 vs 10
|
51 |
38 |
|
8 vs 9
|
42
|
54 |
In 2009 three #12 seeds and three #10 seeds won in the first
round
In 2008 two #12 seeds and two #13 seeds won in the first round
and both #12 seeds advanced to the Sweet Sixteen.
In 2004 a #8 seed and a #9 seed each beat a #1 seed in the
second round of the tournament as well as a #7 seed and a
#10 seed each beat a #2 seed in that same round.
In 2002 three of the four #12 seeds won their opening round
games with one making it to the round of eight.
In 2002 no #9 seeds won their opening round games. The
#9 seeds wins the opening round game 60% of the time.
In 1999 all four #9 and #10 seeds won their opening round
games and three of the #10 seeds advanced to the Sweet Sixteen!!
TIP #3: Evenly Matched
Pay special attention to the 3 vs. 6, 4 vs. 12 and 2 vs. 10 matchups, as you
can see over the last 21 tournaments there hasn't been much of an advantage
being the higher see.
| Matchup |
Hi Seed Wins |
Lo Seed Wins |
|
2 vs 10
|
20
|
12 |
|
3 vs 6
|
31
|
21
|
|
4 vs 12
|
16
|
10
|
TIP #4: Who to Pick by Round
First Round
-
Expect two teams seeded 12 or 13 to win.
-
Look for two teams from the Big 12 and Big 10 to lose.
-
Don't pay too much attention to the Las Vegas Line.
-
View 8 vs. 9 games as toss ups. Look for any advantage such as crowd support.
-
Picking a 2 or 3 seed upset is very risky. Select 1, 2 and 3 seeds to win.
-
Anticipate around 4 to 5 upsets in games involving teams seeded 5, 6 and
7.
Regionals
-
For the most part, go with the lower seed.
-
Don't look for more than one team seeded 12 or 13 to advance to the Sweet
16.
-
The same teams appear to advance again and again. Ex. Duke, UNC, or Kentucky.
-
The winner of a conference tournament final can sometimes have trouble
advancing.
Final Four
-
Normally, no more than two teams seeded #1 advance to final four.
Championship
-
The champion is usually a #1 seed.
-
Repeat champions are rare, so avoid last years winner.
-
Don't necessarily select the pre-tournament #1 ranked team.
-
Expect a team with 24 or more regular season wins to be champion.
-
Look for the champion to come from a strong conference.
Tip #5: The Marcus Method
Flip a coin. You've got as good a chance doing that as you do any other
way.
Tip #6: The Mascot Method
A bear cat beats a wild cat and a grizzly beats a husky but does a tree beat a
hoya?!? TIP #7: Remember What This is Called!! MARCH MADNESS
This is MARCH MADNESS so anything can happen and it usually does.
TIP #8: Have Fun
Remember to have fun. That's why I run this pool because it's fun. I
enjoy this there is no sport better than college basketball in March!!!
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